By OkayGoal
Houston Dash vs Washington Spirit Prediction: Our NWSL Betting Tips
Houston Dash host Washington Spirit on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 23:00 UTC in NWSL regular-season play. The Dash are at home but the market and our model both point the same way: a Spirit side arriving as clear favourites.
Our model makes Washington Spirit the pick, with the best available away price at 1.81. Below we walk through the numbers, the form picture and where any value might sit for this one.
Form and context
Houston DashWWLWLDLLLDWLLDDWLDWWLLLLWD 27% 4–7
Washington SpiritLDDDWWWWWLWWWLWWWLLDLWWLWL 60% 6–5
Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against
Houston have home advantage on their side and nothing else in the data suggests they hold an edge. The model rates the Spirit clearly stronger on current form, and the 1.81 best price on the away win is short for a reason: the books agree with the model’s lean.
The model’s read
Our model picks Washington Spirit to win this match, the away side in the 1X2 market. That is a clear rather than a marginal lean, and it matches how the odds are priced. The quickpick card above carries the live model figures for this fixture.
Odds and where the value sits
Washington Spirit to win is best priced at 1.81. That is the number the feed shows as the best available price across books for the model’s selection. For the rest of the card, the match widget at the top of this page shows the current best 1X2 prices, and the odds move, so check the live prices before you bet.
Our prediction
The pick is Washington Spirit to win. Our model rates the Spirit the stronger side and the 1.81 best price, though no value, still reflects a confident away favourite. Houston need something special at home to upset that read.
Our track record
302Tips settled
158–144Win–loss
52%Strike rate
+4.7%ROI
+14.29Profit (units)
Recent:LWLWLWLWLLWW
Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+
Our tracked record shows 624 settled tips, 316 wins and 308 losses, a 50.6 per cent strike rate and an ROI of 4.8 per cent. That record is honest and unpolished, exactly as it stands.
1
A. SanchezNorth Carolina Courage
16 gls · 4 ast
2
B. BandaOrlando Pride
15 gls · 3 ast
3
T. ChawingaKansas City
11 gls · 3 ast
4
S. SmithPortland Thorns
11 gls · 4 ast
5
T. RodmanWashington Spirit
9 gls · 5 ast
18+ · Please gamble responsibly
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