By OkayGoal
Chicago Red Stars vs Denver Summit prediction: the visitors arrive favoured
Chicago Red Stars host Denver Summit on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 20:00 UTC, in a regular-season NWSL fixture. Our model has looked at the numbers and come down clearly on the travelling side, which is a stance worth unpacking before kickoff.
The model’s read is a Denver Summit win, and the best available price on that outcome at the moment is 1.38. Short, but not short enough to ignore if the data keeps pointing the same way once you dig into it.
What the model says
Denver Summit are the pick in the 1X2 market. That is not a coin flip dressed up as insight. The model rated the away side the strongest of the three outcomes by some distance, which is why the headline price sits where it does.
Form heading into the fixture
Both sides come into this one with their own recent story, and the widget below carries the live form strings for each team rather than a hand-me-down summary. Where the model leans is no secret at this point: Chicago would need a performance well above their recent level to flip it.
Chicago Red StarsLWLLLWLLLLWLWLLLLDLLWLLDLL 7% 3–19
Denver SummitLDWDDLLWWLWLDWLDLWDLWWDDWL 53% 11–10
Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against
Where the value sits in the odds
The standout price in the feed for this fixture is Denver Summit to win at 1.38, which is the best figure our odds scan returned for the match. At that level you are not getting rich on a single leg, but it is hard to argue the market has mispriced the model’s favourite.
If you want a fuller picture of the match prices as they stand, the odds card above carries the live 1X2 strip. Prices move through the week, so treat any figure here as a snapshot rather than a promise.
The NWSL table context
League position tells you plenty about why the away side are fancied. The mini table below shows where Chicago Red Stars and Denver Summit currently sit in the NWSL standings, complete with points, goal difference and recent form.
Our prediction for Chicago Red Stars vs Denver Summit
We are going with the model: Denver Summit to win the match, with the best price on that outcome currently 1.38. The lean is grounded in the model’s assessment of the two sides rather than a hunch, and nothing in the available data argues for Chicago overturning it. That said, 1.38 is a price that leaves little room for error, so stake accordingly.
How our tips have been doing
Every pick we publish is tracked, wins and losses alike. The record below updates live and shows exactly how the model has performed over its settled selections.
300Tips settled
157–143Win–loss
52%Strike rate
+4.8%ROI
+14.36Profit (units)
Recent:LWLWLWLLWWWW
Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+
Odds move, nothing is guaranteed, and this is a game of fine margins. If you bet, please do so responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose. 18+.
18+ · Please gamble responsibly
Betting should be fun, never a way to make money. Only stake what you can afford to lose, set deposit and time limits, and never chase losses. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, free confidential help is available.
