By OkayGoal
Portland Thorns vs North Carolina Courage: our NWSL betting tips
Two of the NWSL’s established heavyweights go head to head when Portland Thorns host North Carolina Courage on Friday, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. It is a fixture that rarely needs extra spice, and this edition lands with both sides chasing points in the run-in.
Our model has studied the numbers and come down on the side of the home team. Portland are the pick in the 1×2 market, with the best price on our odds board sitting at 2.55 for a Thorns win.
Our Portland Thorns vs North Carolina Courage prediction
The model leans Portland Thorns. Home advantage at Providence Park counts for plenty in this league, and our numbers give the Thorns the edge over a Courage side that has made the trip across the country. The 2.55 on offer for the home win is the best price currently showing on our NWSL odds feed, and it is a price that looks worth backing for a team the model rates as the strongest side in this matchup.
Form and context: Thorns at home, Courage on the road
Portland have long made Providence Park one of the toughest away days in the league, and the model’s read here is built on that home record. North Carolina travel with a reputation for organised, possession-based football, but long road trips in the NWSL are unforgiving and our model does not quite give them enough to overturn the hosts.
For a match-up of this profile, goals are never far away. Both teams have attacking units capable of hurting anyone in this league, and the markets reflect a game that should produce chances at both ends.
Where the value looks like
The headline value is the Portland Thorns home win at 2.55, the best available price on our odds board. For anyone wanting a safer angle, the match odds widget below carries the full range of prices from our bookmaker partners, updated right up to kick-off.
Our track record
Our tracked tips record stands at 417 wins from 808 settled picks, a 51.6 per cent win rate that has produced 50.67 units of profit at a 6.3 per cent return on investment. We publish every pick, win or lose, and this one goes in the book as a Portland Thorns home win.
381Tips settled
206–175Win–loss
54%Strike rate
+7.0%ROI
+26.78Profit (units)
Recent:WLWWLWWWWWLW
Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+
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