By OkayGoal
Utah Royals host Seattle Reign FC at America First Field in Sandy, Utah, with the NWSL regular-season run-in tightening around both clubs. Kickoff is set for 01:30 UTC on 24 October, a Friday night fixture in Sandy and a late one for anyone watching from the UK.
Our model has looked at this fixture and come down on the side of the visitors. Seattle Reign FC get the nod as the pick, and the best away-win price our odds feed tracks sits at 2.67, so the market is far from convinced the Reign are home and dry. This preview breaks down why the model leans that way and where the value might hide.
The model’s read on Utah Royals vs Seattle Reign FC
Our model picks Seattle Reign FC to win this one, with the best away-win price in our odds feed at 2.67 at the time the odds were collected. That is a tall price for a model pick, which usually signals the model sees something the market does not. The trip to Sandy is one most visiting sides dread, but the numbers still point towards Seattle.
Form guide and what the data says
Utah Royals come into the match at home, where the altitude in Sandy is a real factor in the closing stages. The form widgets below carry the live last-five picture for both clubs, updated from the same feed our model uses, so we let those numbers do the talking rather than guessing at runs of results.
Utah RoyalsLLDWWWWWDWWDLLWWLWLWLWLWLWDL 47% 4–7
Seattle Reign FCWLWWDLDLLWLLWLWWDWLDWWWLLWLW 40% 7–7
Last 5 matches · last-5 points % · goals for–against
Where the value looks for this NWSL fixture
The away win at 2.67 is the headline number. When a model picks a side at odds that long, the edge the model claims is bigger than usual, and that is exactly the kind of mismatch we like to flag. The live odds strip below shows the current best 1X2 prices and which bookmaker is offering each one. Those prices move in the run-up to kickoff, so check the price and the book at the moment you place anything.
Our prediction for Utah Royals vs Seattle Reign FC
Our pick: Seattle Reign FC to win. The model makes the Reign the side to back despite the trip to Sandy, and at the 2.67 best price in our odds feed the away win is the value angle our numbers like most in this fixture. Utah Royals have the home crowd and the altitude, but the model still prefers Seattle, and we follow the model rather than the vibe of a Friday night under the lights.
How our NWSL tips have fared
Our tracked record currently sits at 417 wins from 808 settled tips, a strike rate of 51.6 per cent, with 50.67 units of profit and an ROI of 6.3 per cent. That is a long-run record across all competitions, not a promise about this match, and we quote it because a tips site should show its numbers rather than hide them.
390Tips settled
209–181Win–loss
54%Strike rate
+6.7%ROI
+26.30Profit (units)
Recent:WLWWLLLLLWLW
Level stakes to the price advertised at time of tip. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 18+
The wider NWSL picture
This match sits in a congested NWSL table with plenty still to sort out before the playoffs, and both clubs know a result here shapes their October. The standings widget below shows the live positions, and the top-scorer list carries the players most likely to decide this fixture.
1
B. BandaOrlando Pride
15 gls · 2 ast
2
A. SanchezNorth Carolina Courage
15 gls · 5 ast
3
T. ChawingaKansas City
12 gls · 4 ast
4
T. RodmanWashington Spirit
11 gls · 5 ast
5
H. HopkinsKansas City
11 gls · 4 ast
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